Trademark Market Perspective for January 3rd, 2020
What a difference a year makes! The year-over-year gain from Christmas Eve 2018 to the same day in 2019 was close to 40%!<1> We went...
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Insights
Mark Carlton
- Nov 8, 2019
- 5 min
Trademark Market Perspective for November 8th, 2019
As the markets moved into September there was a lot of fear. As measured by GDP, purchasing managers, and the Institute for Supply...
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Mark Carlton
- Oct 23, 2019
- 9 min
Trademark Quarterly Perspective for 3Q19
SUMMARY The third quarter of 2019 paled in comparison to the previous two quarters as global weakness and trade fatigue combined to...
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Mark Carlton
- Sep 18, 2019
- 4 min
Market Update for September 18th, 2019
Thoughts ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting: Investors expect that the Federal Reserve will ease 25 basis points. This time...
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Mark Carlton
- Jul 30, 2019
- 5 min
Notes and Thoughts Ahead of this Week's Federal Reserve Meeting
Investors expect that the Federal Reserve will ease 25 basis points and that stocks will rally as a result. My feeling is that since this...
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Mark Carlton
- Jul 19, 2019
- 12 min
2Q19 Quarterly Perspective
SUMMARY The second quarter of 2019 is in the books, as they say, and it was another good one for both stocks and bonds. US equities...
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Mark Carlton
- Jun 28, 2019
- 5 min
Market Perspective for 6/28/19
The S&P 500 is up close to 4% since the last Update and about 6.5% since the June 3rd low.<1> And yet, nothing really seems different in...
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Mark Carlton
- Apr 24, 2019
- 10 min
Quarterly Perspective for Q1 2019
Summary Stocks rebounded sharply in the first quarter as investors reacted favorably to the Federal Reserve’s change of heart on...
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Mark Carlton
- Mar 18, 2019
- 5 min
Trademark Market Perspective for 3/18/19
The Great Bull Market The bull market began on March 9th, 2009, so at this point the Great Recession is completely gone from 10-year...
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Mark Carlton
- Feb 15, 2019
- 4 min
Trademark Market Perspective for 2/15/19
It is eye-opening to read the Market Perspective I wrote exactly two months ago. There was a real sense of dread back then as the global...
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Mark Carlton
- Jan 22, 2019
- 9 min
4th Quarter 2018 Market Perspective
Summary Stocks had a rough quarter worldwide. In fact, 2018’s poor performance has raised the question as to whether or not the...
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Mark Carlton
- Jan 15, 2019
- 4 min
Market Perspective for January 15th, 2019
The U.S. stock market has rallied nicely off its Christmas Eve low, but it is running into some resistance at the 2600 mark on the S&P...
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Mark Carlton
- Dec 17, 2018
- 6 min
Trademark's Market Perspective for December 17th, 2018
Stocks Economic growth appears to have peaked in early autumn. Unemployment is now starting to rise, judging by weekly claims. On the...
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Mark Carlton
- Nov 5, 2018
- 4 min
Notes and Thoughts for November 5th, 2018
I'm headed to New York for a CFA conference as well as a few manager meetings. Before I go I wanted to share a few observations: A stock...
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Mark Carlton
- Oct 17, 2018
- 7 min
Quarterly Perspective for 3Q18
Summary The U.S. stock market posted another strong quarter, rising 7.20%. Once again, however, U.S. stocks were pretty much the “only...
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Mark Carlton
- Sep 25, 2018
- 6 min
Market Perspective for September 25th 2018
The Fed and Interest Rates Interest rates are probably going up by 25 basis points later today. The market and I believe it’s a done...
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Mark Carlton
- Aug 23, 2018
- 5 min
Market Perceptive for August 23rd, 2018
Economy Famous hedge fund investor Stanley Druckenmiller is known for his assertion that it is liquidity that moves markets, not...
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Mark Carlton
- Jul 25, 2018
- 10 min
2Q18 Quarterly Perspective
Summary Stocks rebounded last quarter - at least here in the U.S. Trade war fears drove up the value of the dollar on the idea that...
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Mark Carlton
- May 18, 2018
- 5 min
Market Perspective for May 18th, 2018
Emerging Markets I am nervous about emerging markets. EM can handle a gradual strengthening of the US dollar to a point, but not the...
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Mark Carlton
- Apr 19, 2018
- 10 min
Quarterly Perspective for 1Q18
Summary The stock market’s long quarterly winning streak ended in the first quarter, but the loss was less than one percent. Probably...
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